Archive for the ‘Demography’ Category

Population ageing affects Hong Kong

February 24th, 2014 Comments off

by Marcus Roberts

The debate in Hong Kong on its population policy is continuing. We’ve mentioned it before on this blog, and the debate isn’t dying down at all.   The South China Morning Post continues to debate the options and likely outcomes for a city which has one of the lowest fertility rates in the world.  As the article states, Hong Kong’s population growth is drying up and the population is growing older: Read more…

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Population control ideology stands in stark contrast to the reality of a withering Russia

February 14th, 2014 Comments off

By Anne Morse

This article was first published February 6, 2014 at

Reports of terrorist threats, human rights abuses, and general economic incompetency have already marred the opening of the 2014 winter Olympics. These failings in Russia represent the face of the greatest myth propagated this past half-century: that low-fertility creates a successful society.  Read more…

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More governments are worried about fertility rates

January 18th, 2014 Comments off

by Shannon Roberts

A recent United Nations fertility report collates some interesting statistics about the fertility of the world as a whole.  Put simply, – and no surprises here – it finds that the developed world is not reproducing at the rate necessary to ensure the replacement of generations.   Read more…

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Why the baby kidnapper shouldn’t die

January 15th, 2014 Comments off

by Anne Roback Morse

An obstetrician in the Shaanxi province of China was sentenced to death for child trafficking this week. The 55 year old woman repeatedly told her patients that their new born infant was either deformed or sick. She persuaded the new parents to give up their children for adoption. Instead of adoption, however, the infants were sold to human traffickers for profit.  Doctor Zhang Shuxia pleaded guilty to selling seven children, but she remains the prime suspect in over 20 cases of missing children in the province. Five other employees at the hospital were arrested as accomplices. This recent case of Doctor Shuxia is a result of the two great disasters caused by China’s birth control policy: the moral and the demographic. Read more…

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One child changes: No effect?

December 26th, 2013 Comments off

by Marcus Roberts

A few weeks ago we mentioned the news that China was relaxing its despicably evil One Child Policy. Understandably perhaps, the only response to that post was scepticism that we should take anything that the Chinese Government says at face value. To add a large pinch of salt to anything announced by the Chinese Government is certainly a prudent thing to do, but the fact that it acknowledged publically that a bedrock piece of social engineering was no longer desirable is surely worthy of mention and comment. Read more…

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Categories: Demography, Population, Under-population Tags:

The Numbers Don’t Lie: Babies are Blessings for Everyone

December 18th, 2013 Comments off

By Anne Morse and Steven Mosher

$217,000 is a large chunk of change. You could buy a mining ghost town in California, a new Bentley, or the designer wedding dress of Princess Marie-Chantal for that amount of money. $217,000 also happens to be the net financial benefit to society if you become a parent, according to a recent study by Lee et al. Read more…

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Can China and Japan reverse their birth decline?

December 2nd, 2013 Comments off
by Dermot Grenham

In the Asian fertility video posted a few days ago on MercatorNet, the dramatic decline in birth rates in Asian countries was dramatically demonstrated through some very smart graphics. But leaving aside the fancy artwork the fundamental question remains about what these declines in birth rate presage and what if anything could be done to increase them. Read more…

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5 population stories you don’t usually hear…

November 25th, 2013 Comments off

by Marcus Roberts

One of our main arguments over the last few years on this blog has been that the overpopulation disaster story that is peddled in the media and inhabits the collective societal consciousness is a bit out of date. Instead, we have been highlighting the fact that many countries throughout the world are suffering the opposite problem: a sustained drop in births leading to a contracting, ageing population.  These countries must either prop up by their working age populations through widespread immigration (leading to serious societal issues relating to cultural integration and conflict) or rethink their social security schemes that essentially rely on a continually growing population base (much like Ponzi schemes).   Read more…

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We need to plan now for the ageing

October 4th, 2013 Comments off

by Shannon Roberts

For the first time in history, by the year 2050 people over 60 will outnumber children under the age of 15.  Is the world ready for this massive demographic change?  A recently released United Nations report suggests not.

The global study ranks the social and economic well-being of the elderly in 91 countries and is the first time such a study has been undertaken.  Read more…

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Categories: Demography Tags: ,

In the year 2100…

October 1st, 2013 Comments off

by Marcus Roberts

Having stated last week that there is no population explosion problem, it might be useful to look at the various predictions that are being made about the world’s population.  There is a large variation between what the UN is predicting to be the world’s population in 2100 and what it was predicting only a few years ago.   In 2008, the UN set a global population peak at 2070 and then a falling population after that. It predicted that in 2100 the population of the world would be a touch over 9 billion and falling.  Then in 2010 the UN released new predictions, the population was not going to peak, but was going to be at around 10 billion in 2100.  Then in 2012, the UN revised its figures again, stating that the population of the world was going to be even higher, at 10.8 billion at 2100.  This variation was due to high fertility rates in Africa and Latin America: Read more…

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